Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#191
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#206
Pace70.7#102
Improvement+0.0#176

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#239
Improvement+0.7#140

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#149
Improvement-0.7#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 250   @ South Alabama L 58-74 52%     0 - 1 -18.0 -18.8 +1.8
  Nov 14, 2013 25   @ Connecticut L 55-101 6%     0 - 2 -29.8 -10.8 -16.1
  Nov 19, 2013 262   @ James Madison W 71-67 55%     1 - 2 +1.2 -1.7 +2.8
  Nov 22, 2013 239   Florida Atlantic W 77-44 70%     2 - 2 +25.9 +5.4 +22.2
  Nov 23, 2013 107   Toledo L 78-80 39%     2 - 3 -0.8 -2.6 +2.0
  Nov 24, 2013 172   Stony Brook L 102-104 3OT 56%     2 - 4 -5.2 +4.7 -9.4
  Nov 30, 2013 177   @ South Florida W 65-60 37%     3 - 4 +6.9 -5.9 +12.7
  Dec 04, 2013 107   @ Toledo L 75-91 21%     3 - 5 -9.2 -2.3 -6.3
  Dec 08, 2013 111   Rhode Island W 70-68 40%     4 - 5 +3.1 -0.9 +4.0
  Dec 14, 2013 66   @ North Carolina St. L 79-82 13%     4 - 6 +7.6 +4.4 +3.4
  Dec 18, 2013 136   @ Akron L 60-79 27%     4 - 7 -14.2 -3.4 -12.3
  Dec 22, 2013 201   @ Bowling Green L 62-64 42%     4 - 8 -1.5 -5.1 +3.7
  Dec 30, 2013 333   Bethune-Cookman W 73-53 90%     5 - 8 +4.2 -2.8 +8.6
  Jan 04, 2014 145   Wright St. W 58-53 49%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +3.8 -8.1 +12.2
  Jan 08, 2014 93   @ Cleveland St. L 63-73 18%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -1.7 -4.6 +2.5
  Jan 11, 2014 185   Oakland L 69-77 60%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -12.1 -10.0 -2.2
  Jan 15, 2014 160   Valparaiso L 70-78 53%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -10.4 -4.2 -6.0
  Jan 18, 2014 182   @ Youngstown St. L 63-77 37%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -12.2 -7.1 -6.2
  Jan 24, 2014 164   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-54 33%     7 - 12 2 - 4 +22.0 -5.0 +25.2
  Jan 26, 2014 64   @ Green Bay L 52-62 13%     7 - 13 2 - 5 +0.8 -9.9 +9.9
  Jan 29, 2014 266   Illinois-Chicago W 74-68 75%     8 - 13 3 - 5 -2.5 -0.6 -1.8
  Jan 31, 2014 93   Cleveland St. L 78-86 34%     8 - 14 3 - 6 -5.2 +4.1 -9.3
  Feb 07, 2014 160   @ Valparaiso W 59-57 32%     9 - 14 4 - 6 +5.2 -9.9 +15.1
  Feb 09, 2014 182   Youngstown St. W 83-81 OT 59%     10 - 14 5 - 6 -1.8 -0.4 -1.5
  Feb 14, 2014 185   @ Oakland L 82-83 OT 38%     10 - 15 5 - 7 +0.5 -2.5 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2014 266   @ Illinois-Chicago W 65-59 55%     11 - 15 6 - 7 +3.1 -6.5 +9.8
  Feb 21, 2014 145   @ Wright St. L 61-65 28%     11 - 16 6 - 8 +0.4 -5.3 +5.6
  Feb 27, 2014 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 62-68 54%     11 - 17 6 - 9 -8.6 -3.7 -5.7
  Mar 01, 2014 64   Green Bay L 66-75 26%     11 - 18 6 - 10 -3.8 -2.7 -1.1
  Mar 04, 2014 164   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-83 33%     11 - 19 -7.0 +6.2 -13.8
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%